Friday, April 24, 2009

Moderate Republicans want more choices

Our national poll yesterday found that moderate Republicans weren't all that fond of any of the folks currently mentioned as top GOP candidates for 2012.

Mike Huckabee did the best of the bunch, with 54% viewing him favorably. For Sarah Palin it was 53%, then 46% for Mitt Romney, and 42% for Newt Gingrich.

When it came to matching them up with Obama Huckabee led 56-32, Romney was up 53-29, Palin had a 55-35 advantage, and Gingrich was up 49-36.

Suffice it to say there's no way Barack Obama is going to lose reelection if he can pull a third of the vote from moderate Republicans. In a country with a significant Democratic identification advantage it's going to be very hard for any GOP candidate who can't pull at least 90% of the party's vote to be successful.

That doesn't mean the moderate wing of the Republican Party is necessarily going to have any luck getting a candidate it finds more acceptable as the party's nominee in 2012. Our survey showed only 25% of Republicans identified themselves as moderates. 72% of the party faithful are conservatives, and 3% are liberals still holding on.

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