Thursday, July 2, 2009

Notes on New Jersey

-Barack Obama's approval in New Jersey might not be as good as it was earlier in the year, but it's still to Jon Corzine's definite advantage to have the President campaign for him. Among voters who approve of Obama's job performance Corzine is currently leading Chris Christie 70-20...winning over most of the 30% of the electorate that approves of Obama but isn't currently planning to vote for him is going to be pretty integral to Corzine's chances at reelection. Among voters who disapprove of Obama, Christie has an 89-6 advantage.

-Voters in New Jersey are remarkably polarized when it comes to their assessments of these candidates. Fewer than 4% of respondents to our poll said they hold a favorable opinion of both Christie and Corzine. We're in the field in Virginia right now too, and it's safe to say there are markedly more voters there who like both Creigh Deeds and Bob McDonnell. 8% of New Jersey voters have an unfavorable opinion of both candidates, while most voters fall in the 'like one and not the other' camp.

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