Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Massachusetts Republican Numbers

-Scott Brown doesn't need to worry about a Tea Party challenge. 70% of Massachusetts Republican primary voters think that he is ideologically 'about right' while only 23% think that he's too liberal. Only 25% say they would support a more conservative alternative in a primary against Brown to 65% who say they'd stick with him.

Brown gets lumped in with Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins a lot but he's doing a much better job than them of staying in good standing with the party base. Democrats aren't going to get lucky next year by facing some far right person who wins a primary challenge- if they want the seat back they're going to have to find a way to beat Brown himself.

-Mitt Romney has a wide lead for the Presidential nomination in the state with 49% to 10% for Michele Bachmann, 9% for Sarah Palin, 8% for Herman Cain, 6% for Tim Pawlenty, 5% for Ron Paul, 4% for Newt Gingrich, and 1% for Jon Huntsman.

It's unremarkable that Romney is ahead in his home state, but it's worth noting that his level of support is greater with Massachusetts Republicans than any of his opponents find in their backyards. Here's how they stack up:

Candidate (State)

Home State Primary Support

Mitt Romney (MA)


Tim Pawlenty (MN)


Newt Gingrich (GA)


Herman Cain (GA)


Sarah Palin (AK)


Michele Bachmann (MN)


Gary Johnson (NM)


Rick Santorum (PA)


Ron Paul (TX)


Rick Perry (TX)


Romney's favorability with Republicans in Massachusetts is 78/14, indicating that his health care plan isn't too much of a liability at least with primary voters on the home front. He puts up very strong numbers across the ideological spectrum.

Full results here


Anonymous said...

Perhaps the measure of home-state support should instead be how much that person does better in their state than in national polling?

After all, of that 49%, a good 10-20% of the differences comes just from being the national frontrunner.

charlie said...

Thank you for polling Ron Paul.

Dustin Ingalls said...

"Thank you for polling Ron Paul."

We always do.

Web Statistics