Monday, June 8, 2009

A remarkable figure

We did our first poll on the Virginia Democratic primary in late January. At that point in the game it's basically an activist poll since for the most part you're still in a pre-campaign mode and not reaching out to the broader electorate. At that point Terry McAuliffe and Brian Moran were tied at 18% with Creigh Deeds back at 11% and 53% undecided.

Since then Deeds has gained 29 points, McAuliffe has gained eight points, and Moran has gained six points. So essentially among voters who made their decisions during the campaign Deeds is at 67%, McAuliffe is at 19%, and Moran is at 14%.

That's quite a remarkable tribute to the campaign he's run, assuming our final poll is correct.

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