I'm as riveted as any other political junkie by the race in NY-23, and we're doing a pretty comprehensive poll there this weekend, but I'm not sure that it really has any broader implications.
The three way nature of the race is interesting, but it's only that way because the party bosses got to pick the candidates. If there had been a Dede Scozzafava-Doug Hoffman primary contest it seems Hoffman would have won easily, and it's really not a new development for someone from the conservative wing of the Republican Party to win a primary. Ask Joe Schwarz, Chris Cannon, or Wayne Gilchrest, all incumbent GOP Congressmen who lost challenges from the right in the last couple cycles.
A Hoffman victory could embolden more primary challengers to sitting Republican members of Congress- remember our finding last week that 35% of GOP voters think their party's delegation is too liberal. But the reality is that the Club for Growth can't fund everyone, and most of those efforts would have to be made at a significant fundraising disadvantage.
NY-23 is pretty interesting...but I don't think it has a lot of ramifications beyond NY-23.