Rick Snyder's winning the Republican primary for Governor of Michigan...while running third among actual GOP voters. That's because Michigan has open primaries and Snyder's up big with the independents planning to cast their votes on the Republican side.
It's an extremely close race at this point with 4 of the 5 candidates polling within five points of each other. Snyder's at 20%, followed by Pete Hoekstra at 19%, Mike Cox at 17%, and Mike Bouchard at 15%. Tom George is polling further back with his level of support currently at 9%.
Among Republicans it's actually Hoekstra at the top with 19%, followed by Cox at 18%, and Snyder at 16%. But with those independents, who account for a little more than 20% of the GOP primary electorate, Snyder leads the way with 36% followed by Bouchard at 24% and Hoekstra at 18%.
The GOP race is pretty volatile right now though with none of the candidates particularly well known. Cox is the most prominent but 36% of likely primary voters still don't have any opinion about him. 41% have no opinion about Hoekstra, 54% are ambivalent toward Bouchard, 56% don't know enough about Snyder to have formed an opinion, and George is a blank slate to 83% of those who say they'll vote in the August primary.
Hoekstra has a 4 point lead with conservatives but Snyder has the overall edge thanks to a 10 point advantage among moderates.
General election numbers we'll release tomorrow show Snyder would definitely be the strongest candidate for Republicans in the fall...but whether he'll have enough appeal to conservatives to survive the primary remains to be seen. This is going to be an interesting and closely fought race.
Full results here
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3 comments:
WHO ARE U... U NEVER COME DOWN TO THE CITIES.. U JUST SHOW DETROIT..LOL U HAVE KNOW IDEA WHAT WE ARE GOIN THROUGH..... THE ONLY REASON WHY I KNOW YOUR NAME IS BECAUSE IM INVOLVED.. AND U HAVE NOT COME TO THE DOWNRIVER OR METRO AREA.. WHAT A JOKE YOUR THE TOP CANDIDATE....BE REAL COME DOWN TO THE CITIES AND SHOW YOUR FACE... BE A POLITICIAN...
To Anonymous: I have no connection to Rick Snyder's campaign other than being a supporter of him. I believe you are correct in implying that areas like Downriver and the near Detroit communities, as well as Detroit itself, need a great deal of support and attention by our next governor. I have studied his position papers and I attended one of his town hall meetings. I honestly believe his approach will do a great deal more for areas that you mention than will any other candidate for governor. It's going to take time. But once his philosophy takes hold, We are all going to benefit. Rick is truly not a politician. We are all in deep do-do in Michigan's economy. We need a non-BS person as governor. If Rick wins the Primary, I'm sure he will come to areas that have been extremely hard hit by the economy. He certainly talked about these issues at his town hall meeting. He had nothing to do with putting us in the bad situation we are in. He needs to hear specific ideas from people like you. God Help us if we stick to politics as usual. John Hall. Ann Arbor
Dear anonymous
I understand you have not physically seen him yet but he has been in some areas of the metro area. But same with other politicians, you can't be everywhere. But after researching this person, I do believe he is much more in tune then the others. He has the accounting background to understand the problems facing businesses and people. Being a cpa he knows the problems of the tax system and why businesses can't afford to do business here and are leaving. He wants to make it more competitive so businesses will come here and stay and create jobs. Plus being a sucessful business person himself he knows how to run things. You don't get to be a president and ceo of Gateway computers by being a dummy. We need a fresh face and not a career politician that has special interest groups in their back pocket. And anyone that says we need a politician to run things..I just have to say Ronald Reagan..he was an actor and became one of the most famous and popular presidents of this country.
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