Friday, June 11, 2010

Coming next week, taking suggestions

We're going to have a ton of stuff out next week:

*NC-8: We'll look at the Republican House runoff between Tim D'Annunzio and Harold Johnson as well as the general election match ups with Larry Kissell both head to head and including Wendell Fant as a third party candidate. We started this poll last night and I've never seen such a huge disparity between how two potential opponents fared against an incumbent...Republican leaders are absolutely correct that Johnson is viable for the fall and D'Annunzio is not.

*Illinois: We're looking at the races for Governor and Senate with a particular focus on how much attention the voters are paying to the controversy about Mark Kirk's military record. For fun we're gaging the approval ratings of Lou Piniella, Ozzie Guillen, and Tony LaRussa with their teams' partisans.

*Louisiana: The main focus here is obviously the oil spill. We're asking a bunch of stuff about about how Obama's handled it, how Bush handled Katrina, who they think did a better job, what they think about offshore drilling, etc. And we'll also take a look at one of the most infrequently polled potentially competitive Senate races in the country between David Vitter and Charlie Melancon.

Looking forward I'm interested in doing a Virginia poll next week...the state has seen virtually no polling since the change in administration. I'm interested in seeing how Bob McDonnell and Ken Cuccinelli have held up, looking at how voters feel about Jim Webb and George Allen, etc. Virginians let's crowdsource this poll- what do we need to be asking?

We'll do at least one and maybe two 2010 race polls next weekend as well...what states should we look toward next? Have a good weekend!

57 comments:

Matt said...

New Mexico. The primary is over, the attack ads have begun and polling shows it is a close race.

HB said...

California governor, NYS AG and Comptroller, PA Gov/Senate, and Florida Gov and AG

DBL said...

While the Utah GOP Senate primary isn't that big a deal, the winner will win in November, it is the next big race on June 22. You could also look at approval ratings for Hatch and Chaffetz and maybe put them together.

Oregon, Wisconsin, Missouri, New Hampshire.

St. Louis Oracle said...

It's time someone besides Rasmussen polled the Missouri senate race. While you're at it, take a look at MO-4, where 17-term Rep. Ike Skelton tries to hold onto an R+14 district.

Anonymous said...

OHIO, two major tier one headline races and a lot of other competitive statewides

Anonymous said...

Poll these Virginia matchups:

Senate 2012: James Webb vs George Allen

Senate 2012: James Webb vs Kenneth Cuccinelli

President 2012: Barack Obama vs Robert McDonnell

Senate 2014: Mark Warner vs Robert McDonnell

Anonymous said...

Washington! Wisconsin maybe too!

Anonymous said...

Can you poll the Maine governor's race? All that's out right now is Rasmussen.

Brandon K said...

Wisconsin please.

Anonymous said...

1. Nevada
2. Wisconsin
3. Florida

All Senate, please.

Anonymous said...

poll the sc gov race in the general (haley and barret vs. sheheen) and alvin greene vs. demint

Anonymous said...

NH-Sen should be surveyed because there is not a reliable poll that has been released since it was revealed that the NRSC's hand-picked candidate, Kelly Ayotte was faulted for not prosecuting a multi-million dollar ponzi scheme or the fact that she trashed her state records before quiting her government job to run for Senate. The NH statewide polls are generally not reliable and are overly generic.

Anonymous said...

How could you possibly ask a Wendell Fant question as a head to head?

Assuming he even shows his face after his ethics violations, it's still Kissell (D), D'Annunzio (R) or Johnson (R) versus Hill (L), if Wendell shows his face as an (I).

Don't make me come up to Raleigh and teach PPP how to poll.

NRH said...

Nevada. The only ones with a post-primary poll out on the Senate race is Rasmussen, whose veracity is, mildly put, disputed.

Anonymous said...

Ask about don't ask, don't tell. Jim Webb was a Democrat who opposed it.

Be sure to ask about the approvals about Mark Warner.

Poll at least Obama vs Generic R Matchup in Virginia (this will be a close state again, you don't have any reason not to do this)

Poll Webb vs someone besides Allen in 2012

Ask about a generic state legislative ballot. Democrats must control at least one body to have any part in redistricting. (which will gerrymander Nye and VA-05)

Ask about healthcare repeal and Cuccinelli

Ask about the amount of conservative Democrats in the state (and how they lean)

Bob Fertik said...

How about Georgia? The primary is 7/20 and the Democratic primary for Gov is competitive, as is the Barrow-Thomas primary in GA12.

Anonymous said...

It is time, as mentioned above, that someone other than rasmussen poll Missouri or Nevada. (I am absolutely sure Reid is not -11 to Angle).

It is also time PPP start looking at congressional districts besides ones in NC. Try looking at WV-01 (a good state to see the Rust Belt factor in 2010), MO-04, (is Skeleton really in trouble?), or IL-11 (Some people say Halvorson in this suburban Chicago district might be vulnerable) Try and clear up how these members are doing.

Otherwise, poll Delaware (you haven't been there in a while!), or Georgia where Barnes appears to provide Democrats with a place to maybe win.

Anonymous said...

Jensen, poll favorable/unfavorable for Carol Mosley Braun in Illinois

Not Andy Sere said...

Poll on offshore drilling. McDonnell was elected with a platform dependent heavily on offshore drilling to pay for transportation projects and it was widely popular. How much has support for offshore drilling in Virginia dropped after the BP spill?

Anonymous said...

Poll Indiana Senate. Please, please, we Hoosier dems are going crazy!

Anonymous said...

Pennsylvania.

Dustin Ingalls said...

We've polled SC twice in the last month, including a Haley/Sheheen matchup in May (Haley led 44-34).

Anonymous said...

Maryland. Rasmussen has the race tied 45-45.

Pat

wwmiv said...

Missouri-SEN! Missouri-SEN! Missouri-SEN! and South Carolina Gov and Sen.

Anonymous said...

So many Senate races to choose from. I wanted to see Washington and Wisconsin polls last week to see how the entry of Rossi and Johnson affected those races. Of course I would also be interested in polls in Nevada, Kentucky, and/or Florida to see how recent events affected those states.

Anonymous said...

Please TEXAS governor and Chet Edwards. All we get is Rasmussen B.S.

Anonymous said...

Ok, seriously, the lack of polling here is diabolical. Tom, if you have any humanity, quench my thirst and poll Indiana senate! No one knbows what is going on here.

Anonymous said...

You should poll the Maine gubernatorial race, so we can see how closely it aligns with Rasmussen

Anonymous said...

Indiana would be a great place to poll. The senate race, the third district,the eighth and the ninth districts, state house and senate, Mike Pence and Mitch Daniels, two possible presidential candidates, should have their favorabilities checked. And obviously the senate race, which may very well be the most underpolled close race in America. Also the second district.

Anonymous said...

Please poll Virginia Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling's approval ratings. He is probably the odds on favorite to receive the Republican nomination for governor of Virginia in 2013. He also might run for US Senate at some point. Virginia also has 4 House districts that are at least somewhat competitive, the 2nd, 5th, 9th, and 11th. Some time ago, you polled New Mexico and along with the governor's race there, you polled all of its House races. I would like for you to do the same for at least some of the competitive Virginia House races. Also, please poll the favorability or approval ratings (not sure if there is a difference) for Terry McAuliffe and Chap Petersen. Both of them have run as Democrats statewide, albeit they did not receive their party's nominations (McAuliffe for Governor and Petersen for Lieutenant Governor). With more seasoning, both might run statewide in 2013.

For the posters who want Indiana polled, Tom has said a couple of times and once within the last week that Indiana can't be realistically polled by PPP because it only allows random digit dialing polling under restrictive circumstances.

Anonymous said...

Virginia: poll the support for De-Funding ObamaCare. Plenty of polls on repeal, no poll yet on de-funding

Shayan said...

I don't know if this is possible because of cost, but I would love to see a poll of the Alaska Senate race. As far as I know, we haven't had any public poll of that race since 2008, and I'd like to see if a)Murkowski has taken any hits to her popularity like other senators b)how vulnerable she is to her Palin-endorsed teabagger challenge c)what general election prospects look like for Vondersaar in either case

Anonymous said...

If you are polling George Allen v. Jim Webb, you should poll Cucinelli and Bolling v. Webb. From what I hear from some VA Republicans, they would love to dump Allen and have Bolling or Cucinelli go against Webb and then the other run for Governor. Either is more electable than George Allen and it prevents a bloody primary in 2013. Also if you have time, maybe some Illinois congressional races.

Anonymous said...

Dustin,

Did you guys not poll the 2012 primary nationally or the primary in North Carolina?

Anonymous said...

Poll Tom Davis against Webb, when he decided to not run against Warner, he mentioned that Webb looked pretty vulnerable, sounds like he was hinting at a run. Also poll Warner's ratings, last Virginia poll showed him far ahead other Democrats, is that still true?

Anonymous said...

Indiana is full of gret data to be reaped. Daniels popularity and approval,several cool races as well as the vastly under polled senate race. Maybe poll the favorability of Bayh and Lugar. And maybe test some 2012 presidential and gubernatorial numbers. This state begs to be polled by an awesome pollster.

Anonymous said...

1) OHIO (both Senate and Governor's race)
2) Indiana Senate
3) Kentucky Senate

It would also be great to poll OH-1 (Driehaus) and other congressional districts where other polls have previously claimed extreme incumbent vulnerability.

Anonymous said...

Definitely Washington and Wisconsin. Nothing against Rasmussen, but like any pollster, he needs to be checked and no other credible pollster has polled either race in the past few months.

Dustin Ingalls said...

"Did you guys not poll the 2012 primary nationally or the primary in North Carolina?"

The national GOP presidential primary numbers are coming out Monday. We didn't poll it in NC, however.

Anonymous said...

Ohio or Missouri or Georgia. They're all equal to me. And, I should like to mention, everybody here is complaining about rasmussen. I agree, and I know it is erly in the cycle, but i wish another pollster polled as regularly as they do.

Anonymous said...

Missouri would be a great place to do a comprehensive poll.

Anonymous said...

Ohio is the way to go. Senate, governor and several house seats.

Anonymous said...

Georgia's races should be polled. I'm interested in all the obvious races, but also legislature wuld be great. If Georgia is polled, a must poll: those who are voting for Roy Barnes and Mike Thurmond, and vice versa. Lets see if there's a massive difference.

Anonymous said...

if you going to poll virginia then you should also poll new jersey and also NJ-6 NJ-12 and NJ-3

Anonymous said...

Ohio tom, Ohio! Its one of the few true barnburners this early in the cycle. But i'd also like to see Georgia polled. Conflicted!

Anonymous said...

Please do Missouri.

Anonymous said...

Poll Gerogia, and all of its interesting races.

Anonymous said...

Arizona's 8th congressional district looks like it might be an interesting race. The New Hampshire congressional races might also be interesting, both primary and general.

moshe said...

Washington. Wasn't yet done by PPP this cycle, No clear picture on race from very few pollsters, Rasmussen had Murray with small lead, SUSA had Rossi leading, R2k (which went under) had Murray with big lead, University of Washington had a very unclear and weird poll.

moshe said...

Wisconsin can use a poll too. Senate race cleared up pretty much. Good GOP pickup opportunity in governorship.

Anonymous said...

Congratulations on your expansion and publicity! I see that you doubled your Twitter followers from before your well-publicized accurate MA-SEN poll in January. Over 4,000 folowers! Keep it up!

Anonymous said...

Georgia really needs a good polling. Thurmond at least somewhat changes the dynamics for both the governor's race and the senate race.

Anonymous said...

Murray-Rossi

Anonymous said...

For me the more interesting poll about Louisiana would be a poll for LA-02 district.

Virginia 2012? nothing for poll about 2010 elections?

Someone should poll:

ME-Gov
VT-Gov
WI-Gov
NH-Sen
HI-01

Anonymous said...

Ok, tom, you need to make sure you poll Virginia 5 with Hurt, and then Hurt and the consrevative independent.

Anonymous said...

Oregon. I would like to see someone besides Rasmussen poll that state, and also include Congressional districts 1 and 5 as well.

Anonymous said...

Oregon. Someone besides Rasmussen should poll the Kitzahber vs. Dudley race, and should include OR-1 and OR-5 also.

I would like to see Washington polled also, as well as Wisconsin.

For Virginia, perhaps you could poll potential Webb 2012 matchups, as well as the four congressional districts that are actively contested.

 
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