Monday, November 12, 2007

Conventional wisdom flipped on its head

The SurveyUSA poll done last week for the Democratic Senate primary seemed to flip the conventional wisdom about where Kay Hagan and Jim Neal will draw their support from on its head.

Kay Hagan has been painted as the establishment candidate, presumably drawing more of her support from the conservative and moderate sides of the Democratic Party while Neal has been portrayed as the darling of progressive bloggers.

Yet last week's poll shows self identified liberals supporting Hagan 41-35 while those describing themselves as conservative gave their support to Neal by a 34-31 margin.

My guess would be that with the candidates not very well known yet, liberal respondents were more supportive of a woman.

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