Friday, January 25, 2008

South Carolina Poll

Barack Obama 44
Hillary Clinton 24
John Edwards 19

A lot of polls are showing the race tightening in South Carolina, but we are not. We've done three surveys in the state now, and Obama has been at 44% in each of them. Hillary Clinton went from 31% in one we did two weeks ago to 28% in one we did earlier this week to now 24% in this one. John Edwards, on the other hand, is improving. He was at 15% on Monday and has gone up now to 19%, likely because some voters who are put off by the nastiness between Clinton and Obama are headed his way.

14% of the state's likely primary voters remain undecided. If enough of them break his way and Clinton's standing continues to fall it seems conceivable Edwards could pull off a second place finish tomorrow.

Obama continues to hold a 67-13 lead over Clinton among African American voters. Edwards is up to 4% after being at just 1% earlier in the week.

Interestingly, Obama leads Clinton by even more among women than he does among men in this survey. It's 46-24 with female voters and 41-24 with males.

Obama has a solid lead in every part of the state.

At this point anything short of a big victory would be a serious disappointment for Obama in South Carolina.

Full results here.

1 comment:

George Vreeland Hill said...

Obama won South Carolina, but he is trying to make race an issue in his quest for the White House.
He will do anything to win.
He plays dirty, and will not win.
New York will laugh at him, and people will get sick of him.
Super Tuesday will break him, but he will try to lie his way to some wins.
See through him, and vote for another candidate.
I am,

George Vreeland Hill

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