Monday, April 28, 2008

Democratic Tracking Poll: President

Barack Obama 51
Hillary Clinton 39

Obama's lead has dropped after varying from 18-25 points in PPP's last five North Carolina polls.

The primary movement in the last week has been among white voters. Our last survey showed Clinton leading by only five points in the state with that group but now her margin is up to 56-35. Per usual Obama's overall lead comes from dominating the black vote, which he leads 83-9.

One piece of good news for Obama in the poll is that he has a lot more votes in the bank than Clinton. 14% of those surveyed said they had done early voting already, and with those folks Obama has a 63-31 advantage.

Obama continues to lead in every part of the state except the Mountains. PPP will have its final North Carolina Presidential poll next Monday.

Full results here.


Anonymous said...


Is part of the reason for the narrowing of the lead down to an adjustment on your part to rectify the weighting errors that resulted in your PA polls being out of synch.

It seems to me that this latest poll accords more consistently with what one might expect (i.e. a Clinton lead of 20 points among white voters as opposed to a wholly unrealistic tie in your previous poll)

No need to be embarrassed about fessing up.

Tom Jensen said...

We didn't weight as much for race this week, which accounts for part of the difference. It's mostly genuine movement in Clinton's direction though.

Anonymous said...

Wow, anonymous. Talk about bitterness. Still sticking around to take pot shots?

Anonymous said...

Is the GOP Ad affecting DEM primary voters? Unbelievable they'd buy it...

Anonymous said...

Clinton doesn't lead in all of the mountains. Think Watauga.

Anonymous said...

tom, your comment is getting lots of attention

Talk about bitterness.

lol, i guess this is the new attack meme.


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