Our polling, even this weekend, is still showing anywhere from 30 to 50 percent undecided in the down ballot races. There are certainly more folks picking a candidate in those contests than there have been in any of our previous polling but plenty still are not.
I'll be interested in looking at the data after the election if those voters ever made a choice in those races, or just voted for President and maybe Governor and just left the rest blank.
I think our polling in races for things like Auditor and Labor Commissioner is reliable- to the extent that polling of any race showing such a high level of undecideds is reliable- I guess we'll see soon enough.
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The Wall Street Journal ranked PPP as one of the top swing state pollsters in the country last year. (11-6-08 WSJ)
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Questions or Comments?
1 comment:
Tom,
I talked to a Democratic campaign consultant recently who said in down ballot primaries (state Senate/House), he is expecting 30% drop off vote from the Presidential numbers.
So especially on the Democratic side, I would not be surprised to see a very large number of people go in and vote for Pres and maybe Governor and then either guess the rest of the way down or just leave them blank.
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