Barack Obama 53
John McCain 42
Republican hopes of holding onto this state George W. Bush took in 2004 are dwindling as Barack Obama has opened up a double digit lead.
Since New Mexico has a heavy Hispanic population, all Barack Obama needs to do with white voters in the state is keep it somewhat competitive. Right now John McCain has only a 49-47 lead with them, and combined with Obama's 59-35 lead with Hispanics that adds up a strong overall advantage for the Democrats.
Sarah Palin is not playing well with New Mexico voters. 46% say her selection made them less likely to vote for John McCain, compared to 38% who say it made them more likely to do so. Among independents her disapproval rating is 47%, and Obama has a 51-35 advantage with that group.
Obama has a 20 point lead with women while leading men by a single point. He leads across all four age groups, including a 61-30 advantage with voters under 30.
Full results here.