When we put out our poll last week showing Kay Hagan with a lead on Elizabeth Dole, I was 100% comfortable with it. We interviewed more than enough people, our demographic breakdown easily passed the smell test, and her relatively weak standing with black voters in the poll seemed like an indication that she was actually doing better even than our poll indicated.
But it's always nice to get some confirmation and a new Democracy Corps poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner gives it. Hagan leads 50-45. And Elizabeth Dole's approval rating is down to 38%. We showed it in the mid-40s for most of last year so it's another indication of the corrosive impact the DSCC ads have had on the way voters view her.
They also show John McCain leading Barack Obama by three points, the same result we've found the last couple months.
More less than good polling news for Bev Perdue. She's knotted with Pat McCrory at 46-46. This is the first survey not to show Perdue at least with a small lead since we put out one showing the race tied about one week after the primary. I have some thoughts on what I think she needs to do differently moving forward that I'll write up this afternoon.
There's an enormous amount of material in this poll, and I'll delve into it some more later. For now here's the link. Kudos to Democracy Corps both for releasing the entire survey and for being transparent about their topline demographics- that's something that should be expected for every public poll.