Thanks for the nominations on where we should poll this week, here are the finalists:
-Colorado. Same rationale as last week- I have no reason to doubt the numbers Rasmussen has had from Colorado but it's better to have multiple pollsters looking at a state, particularly one with competitive races for both Governor and the Senate.
-Georgia. I'm not convinced this is going to be an anti-incumbent year- I think it's mostly going to be an anti-Democratic year. But if it is this is one of the Senate races where Democrats could have a better opportunity...if they got a serious candidate. (We'd look at Governor too.)
-Maryland. Maryland probably gets less polling per capita than any other state in the country...there may or may not be anything to see here but with races for Governor and the Senate this year it's worth a look.
-MO-4 (Ike Skelton.) Skelton's been around forever but his district certainly tilts Republican...and it would be interesting to see how Roy Blunt's doing relative to John McCain's performance in the district.
-NJ-3 (John Adler.) We haven't looked at Democratic levels of vulnerability in any northern districts yet and a couple of you suggested this one so why not...
-OK-2 (Dan Boren.) Boren, despite the strongly conservative nature of his district, isn't even on the Cook Political Report's list of 113 competitive House seats for this year...should he be?
-OR-5 (Kurt Schrader.) This district, maybe more than any other we've polled yet, is one where I feel like if the GOP wins they're taking back the House.
-Washington. Rasmussen and Survey USA both had some bad numbers for Patty Murray here last week...could Washington be the GOP's 51st seat for next year?
We'll definitely poll whatever finishes first, we may do a second as well, but we won't do two House districts- if a House district finished first and we were going to do two we'd do the highest ranked state.