As Rick Perry contemplates a Presidential bid there's one place he can't expect a whole lot of support from: Texas. He polls at only 9% in a hypothetical Republican primary, putting him in sixth place. Mike Huckabee leads the way with 24%, followed by Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin at 17%, and Mitt Romney and Ron Paul at 10%. Perry bests only Tim Pawlenty at 4% and Mitch Daniels at 3%.
It's not that Texas Republicans don't like Perry- his approval with them is a 65/26 spread, very healthy after escaping a spirited primary contest with just a shade over 50% of the vote last year. But whether it's because they don't think he's cut out for the White House or just that they think he should serve out the Gubernatorial term he was elected to only a couple of months ago they are not very supportive of him for a possible Presidential bid. His performance lags behind what we see for Pawlenty in Minnesota and even for Rick Santorum in Pennsylvania.
Assuming that Perry does not end up putting his hat in the ring Huckabee keeps his lead in the state with 25% to 21% for Palin, 17% for Gingrich, 10% for Romney, 9% for Paul, 5% for Pawlenty, and 3% for Daniels. Huckabee has by far the best favorability of the Republicans at a +56 spread (71/15), followed by Palin at +45 (69/24), Gingrich at +38 (60/22), and Romney at just +25 (52/27).
Those numbers for Romney are pretty ominous- they're an indication that he could really have some trouble connecting with voters in states that have heavily conservative Republican primary electorates, which frankly at this point is most of them. Winning across the board in the south would be a very big step toward a potential Huckabee nomination so these numbers bode well for him on that front.
Full results here