We'll have our Michigan and North Carolina polls out starting tomorrow. In Michigan we're leading off with numbers on Rick Snyder and unions...we're seeing the same sort of serious buyer's remorse there as in Ohio and Wisconsin. In North Carolina we'll have our monthly look at Bev Perdue's standing and we also tested to see how some Democratic alternatives to Perdue would fare against Pat McCrory- Roy Cooper, Dan Blue, and Walter Dalton.
Where would you like to see us go this weekend? We'll pick some finalists from your nominations and put it to a vote starting tomorrow.
Monday, March 21, 2011
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32 comments:
Connecticut -- it's time we finally get some numbers here.
New Hampshire. See if Jon Lynch can win another term, Obama's standing, and the generic ballot to see if Democrats can win back the legislatures or the congressional seats.
And see if Hodes would win a rematch against Ayotte.
It would be interesting to gauge the impact of Rudy Giuliani's much-publicized visit to New Hampshire.
West Virginia Senate and Gov
I nominate Libya. Poll there. (Or I guess poll about it, that's be good too)
I'm still down for New Hampshire and Vermont.
Still looking for numbers from New Hampshire. The state legislature partisan-control preference numbers in particular. This seems quite relevant, considering that in the last two weeks one Republican rep in NH was pressured to resign after explicitly supporting eugenics, and three more were specifically named by the Southern Poverty Law Center for supporting hate crimes. Support for retaining marriage equality would be good, too. Also possibly interesting would be asking whether people would support a provision for recall elections in NH.
Let's get Connecticut polled. The field for the Senate race for the Dems is pretty much settled, and would be interesting to see some general election matchups.
Also throw in Louisiana. Figure out if anyone could get close to Jindal, and see if Buddy Roemer has any support for president.
Arizona. I'd like to see how strong Flake and Franks are. Would Terry Goddard have a shot against either?
Also, presidential numbers there would give us some insight into how close Obama can make it in 2012.
Texas.
Robert Paul (son of Ron Paul, brother of Rand Paul) is considering a Republican U.S. Senate bid there.
I like New Hampshire, Mississippi, and Arizona. Connecticut might be good, too, but I imagine the presidential and senate races are foregone conclusions. What about Texas? Tennessee was done recently, but I can't remember the last time Texas was done.
I'd also be interested in seeing the presidential results from states like Kentucky, Georgia, or Alabama, or some other state that is red or deeply red, but I could see why you wouldn't do that.
Poll Rudy in New Hampshire.
I'd like to see Mississippi for the reasons you've mentioned before.
Florida- like to see what is going on there for Senate.
Mississippi- I agree with others that we really should have a poll here.
If you poll NH, ask if voters support the new/stringent voter ID bill that will discourage college students from voting where they attend school.
Florida!
I hoping the last poll there with Huckabee leading was a fluke.
I would say it is also time to take a hard look at INDIANA.
Mississippi or New Hampshire
Why do you guy's want to see Connecticut and Vermont polled? We obviously know who's going to win. Poll somewhere where there's actually a decent match.
No matter which state gets selected, I think it would be really interesting to survey opinions on a state-by-state basis each week. Even just asking about approval for same-sex marriage and approval for civil unions would be really interesting. Recent polls have shown majority support nationwide, but it would be really interesting to see what individual states think about the issue, especially as same-sex marriage and civil union legislation is being discussed in several state legislatures at the moment.
That being said, I think West Virginia could be an interesting state to poll, especially regarding Joe Manchin and a recent anti-gay discrimination law that has stalled in the state legislature. Pennsylvania and
What about Florida?
Your folks could see about a possible early Pres. primary state in 2012, see about a senate race, and see if buyer's remorse for hard-right Republicans in purple states carries over to places without major union fights.
My Republican home state of Indiana would also be interesting. I don't think voters will react well to the Democratic boycott of the state house, I'm afraid.
Also good to test here would be Gov. Daniels's proposed use of public funds for private schools. If I'm right that is essentially what the bill the boycott is now about can be described as- a state voucher program.
Also- Daniels Pres. numbers in his home state!
Thanks for listening.
Mississippi or Utah.
Connecticut is long past due for a look too.
Anything but an umpteenth New Hampshire poll.
I'm up for Mississippi, Arizona, New Hampshire or Florida
The first 2 because I'm very interested in the changing demograhics of the states and wonder if they are trending the democrats way (Although I don't think the democrats will win Arizona until about 2016, and won't likely win Mississippi for another 3-4 elections or so if that.)
Going to keep pulling for Vermont until it gets polled. Delaware and Mississippi should also be on the table.
You should really start putting a P.S. at the end of your suggestion posts stating that Indiana (and which other state? North Dakota?) CANNOT be polled because of state law. It'll be simple and people will stop suggesting it.
Why do people keep asking for Indiana? How many times do they have to say they can't poll the state for legal reasons?
I suggest you actually poll somewhere fresh - CT, HI, VT, NH or MS.
Kentucky. Governor's race this year. The primary is less than two months away and has three viable candidates and yet there hasn't been a single independent poll of it.
Please poll ANY of the states that you didn't poll so far, like Mississippi, Oregon, New Hampshire etc.
Don't poll states that you have already polled.
I want to see all 50 states polled (maybe excl. Indiana and North Dakota, which you cannot poll).
Indiana would be really nice,as it is the only Obama 2012 state that I can see him losing that he won in 2008 -- and only because of the fog of ignorance about the state. I know that polling it is unusually expensive, but is the anti-union policy of the GOP turning people away from Republicans? Could Dick Lugar win as an independent if he got a Tea Party challenge?.
I'd like to see states that haven't been polled for a long time, particularly in the South and near-South. Georgia, Kentucky, Alabama, Mississippi -- is President Obama making any headway among southern whites? If so, then he has a landslide in the making and could win 430 or so electoral votes.
Not in the South, but potentially interesting would be Montana and North Dakota. Is Sarah Palin having a meltdown of credibility? If she does and knows it then she could save the GOP much trouble.
Mississippi or maybe Georgia to see if Gingrich and/or Barbour hurt Huckabee in the south
I'd like to see a poll of Washington. But only if we're going to get a poll of WA-GOV, not WA-SEN. Cantwell will be leading by a big margin and there's no major challengers there, but WA-GOV is going to be one of the biggest gubernatorial races of 2012.
I like to nominate several potential picks. Thanks again for letting reads suggest states!!!
(I'm not going into reasons for each state, wait until after vote/pick)
*Arizona
*Connecticut
*Hawaii
*Maryland
*Vermont
Thanks again! -Pat
I know it's too late now, but for next time, how about polling the special elections in CA-36 and NY-26? The fields have pretty much solidified in each, and NY-26 might be interesting if Jack Davis makes it onto the ballot.
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