While Republicans may hope that NY-26 is just a fluke and that they can salvage the Ryan Medicare plan in the court of public opinion, North Carolina, a key presidential swing state, has turned decidedly against it. When provided with a neutral description of a Ryan plan like proposal, 24% come out in support of the proposal to 47% who come out in opposition. Unsurprisingly, Democrats are least supportive, -44(17-61). However, as most Republican presidential candidates scramble to come out in support of the Ryan plan, it is not particularly popular among Republicans either. Only a bare plurality supports the proposal, +2(35-33).
While Medicare appears to be a winning issue for Democrats, raising the debt ceiling is not. When presented with common arguments for and against raising the debt ceiling, only 31% of North Carolinians support increasing the ceiling compared to 49% who are opposed. Republicans are quite united in their opposition, opposing raising the ceiling -61(11-72). On the other hand, Democrats are more divided and only support raising the ceiling +15(46-31). If congressional Democrats are to succeed in raising the debt ceiling, it is doubtful that they will be able to rely on the public for support.
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