Wednesday, June 29, 2011

Time for another poll vote...

We're going to have a pretty abbreviated poll vote this week...voting is open until 5:30 Eastern this afternoon. Your choices are:

-California. A bad poll for Dianne Feinstein last week but there's a big difference between being vulnerable in a vacuum and being vulnerable against actual Republican candidates. Interested to see how she stacks up against potential opponents.

-Kentucky. One of the few potentially competitive statewide races in 2011 that we haven't looked at yet this year- our last public poll on the Governor's race was done last October. Also we've polled more than two thirds of the country now and haven't found a single state where Sarah Palin has a positive favorability rating but could Kentucky be the one?

-Nebraska. Ben Nelson is generally viewed as doomed and the last poll we did in the state in January fed into that narrative. I have no reason to think his standing now is any better but it might be worth checking in on this one every six months or so if no other pollsters are doing it.

-New Hampshire. There's plenty of other New Hampshire polling out there but we haven't taken a look at the state since early April and it does seem like one we should be doing quarterly...looking at where the Governor's race would stand if John Lynch retired might actually be more illuminating than the Republican Presidential primary though.

-New Jersey. We found Robert Menendez looking highly vulnerable when we polled the state in January. Maybe things have changed but if they haven't this is the most potentially competitive race for next year that barely anyone's talking about- much more so than in places like Ohio or Florida where there's been a lot of ink about Sherrod Brown and Bill Nelson being vulnerable but not a lot of poll numbers to back it up.

-Pennsylvania. Sort of the same rationale for polling here as New Hampshire- no burning need to but it feels like we should go into all of the major Presidential swing states on about a quarterly basis. Also interesting to see if Tom Corbett has the potential to be a drag on his party mates in the same way our polling found last week that Rick Scott could be in Florida.

-Utah. Some interesting polling on the Senate race in the state last week suggesting it could be competitive- wondering if we would back that up and the Romney/Huntsman dynamic is always fun. Plus another state, like Kentucky, which could prove to be the elusive one where Sarah Palin is popular.

Thanks for voting.

14 comments:

Pat H said...

Top 2 I assume?

Anonymous said...

if you poll new jersey could a christie vs corzine rematch and how Christie's union stripping bill is viewed. Im hoping New Jersey and Utah get polled.

mikeel85 said...

CA-36 please.

Dustin Ingalls said...

We're not doing CA-36. It'd be statewide only.

Anonymous said...

Well, you should do CA-36 soon.

BOSMAN said...

CA!
NH

Include Perry, I want to see how BAD HE DOES. Exclude Palin. She's just taking up space.

buff2011 said...

IT will be cool to see what the Matheson v. Hatch/Chaffetz match ups will look like. I am sure that the numbers will be trashed by roll call though since I am sure Congressman Chaffetz has never thought about challenging Hatch in a primary.

Bonncaruso said...

PA and NH, hands down.
Add Hunstman to the PREZ MATCHUPS in these two states.

Mark B. said...

I'm casting my vote for Kentucky. There is a Governor's race there this very year worth watching, and so little polling has been done!

Joe Gallenstein said...

I think the Kentucky race (races? Any chance you could poll some of the down ticket races too?) makes the most sense. We have a race this year that features the long time leader of the GOP in our state legislature versus a sitting Governor. The race hasn't been polled enough, and could use a more variety of polls.

IF we are picking two polls, I still vote Kentucky, but would like to put an honorable mention to Utah. I think Matheson versus Hatch and Matheson versus Chaffetz would be interesting.

Anonymous said...

KY, since the polls would actually mean something.

Graham V. Smith said...

New Hampshire, so we can see how far the electorate has moved toward rejection of the reckless Republican majority they mistakenly voted in.

Media Czech said...

who won?

Anonymous said...

kentucky...

 
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