We're due for our monthly national and North Carolina polls this weekend so as usual we'd like your suggestions on some things:
1) Who should we include as the 5th Republican on our 2012 survey? We're going to permanently include Newt Gingrich now because he's been getting double digits in the primary on all of our state by state polls. Per usual we are only going to consider folks we haven't looked at yet.
2) What other questions should we ask on the national survey? Mostly interested in a) creative stuff that other polling companies wouldn't ask and b) stuff that gives us a better understanding of how things are shaping up for this fall and what's driving people's motivation.
3) It's North Carolina week and at the very least we'll no longer have to poll on Kenneth Lewis' favorability and head to head performance against Richard Burr, so we'll have room for more questions. What should we be polling on in North Carolina?
Always appreciate people's good ideas, and we almost always use some of them.
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2010
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May
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- Early Republican Numbers
- Coming tomorrow...
- Jenny Sanford very popular
- More evidence Dems aren't losing the center
- Brown up big in California
- Not much support on the homefront
- DeMint's Standing
- In Depth on Colorado
- Gingrich looking serious
- Boxer leads opponents despite approval numbers
- GOP favored in SC
- The VA-5 Tea Party Candidacy
- Whitman up big as well
- Fiorina up big
- Sheheen leads for Dems in SC
- Haley was up big before Monday
- Polling on the Civil Rights Act
- Immigration Bill Fallout
- Looking at the Haley situation
- Looking at our GOP polling
- Rethinking the Enthusiasm Gap
- Looking at Gender and Elections in NC
- Paul Fact of the Day
- Knotted up in CO-Gov
- Comparing Brown and Burns
- More Bad Poll Numbers for Burr
- Reflecting on PA-12
- Bennet now leads general
- One last post on Specter/Sestak
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- The Connecticut Situation
- Time to vote!
- The Tea Party in North Carolina
- Critz's Strength
- Paul still up big
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- Burns, Critz close
- Taking your suggestions
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- Why the Dems could win PA-12
- Jumble for the GOP
- NC support for offshore drilling declines
- What's happening in Kentucky?
- Obama and the Moderates
- Non-Viable Candidates showing strength
- Obama leads GOP foes
- NC Runoff Knotted
- Anti-Establishment Sentiment?
- Offshore Drilling
- Obama's numbers hit high mark
- The West Virginia Primary
- Marshall, Cunningham closing on Burr
- The Politics of Oil Spills
- The Dole/Burr parallels
- Dem prospects getting better
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- The upcoming special elections
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- Election Night Live Blog
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- Deeper on the North Carolina Numbers
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May
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Questions or Comments?
33 comments:
I guess you could throw Gary Johnson in there. Also looks like Santorum is going through the hoops. Is Guiliani on your radar...or anyone's radar?
For the NC poll, is there some way to tease out if NC voters have a built in preference for female judicial candidates? I've heard that women have a built in 5 or so percentage points in statewide judicial races, and I'm curious if there is some way to shed some light on that. Along the same ling of thinking, the fact that we have a female governor, female US Senator (and potentially another Dem female Senate candidate in Marshall depending on Tuesdays results) mean that voters no longer think women are underrepresented in NC electoral politics (despite representation at other levels of government).
For the creative question you could include a second version of your 2012 primary poll that includes George W Bush if he were allowed to run again as the fifth Republican.
Dick Cheney. Rick Perry.
For North Carolina: You guys posted the state's view on offshore drilling as very positive a bit ago, but how has that changed after this oil spill?
What is North Carolina's view on Cap and Trade?
Do they believe the country is headed in the right direction?
2) What is the most important consideration for you when deciding which candidate to vote for this fall: Health Care, Economy, Divided Government/Anti-Obama, Social Issues, Foreign Policy/Terrorism, etc, etc.
I keep asking for these two and keep getting ignored but I'll try again. Poll the California and Michigan races there is plenty to poll in both those states to fill up a week.
I suggest throwing in Marco Rubio to teh Presidential poll.
And polling the popularity of the tea party movement generally, or the perception that the Tea Party movement is predisposed to violence, racism, etc.
Poll former President George Bush! I miss him!
Put GWB as the fifth R, want to see what ppl will answer in such a match-up (of course only theoretically) I wouldn't be shocked if he'd be leading together with other Rs or trailing big.
Mitch Daniels
John Thune
You should also poll Hawaii's special election.
Joe Arpaio!
Try running McDonnell or Chris Christie.
Why did you not show Romney winning NC last week?
Joe Arapio is a dumb choice as he will be 80 at the time of the election.
Poll Financial Reform Nationwide. How much is it a winning issue for Dems!!! And you could do a state one in North Carolina too.
Also poll Oil Drilling after the spill.
For NC Poll, you guys DEFINITELY need to include Rick Santorum. I don't like him AT ALL, but it is fairly clear that he is going to be a major candidate in 2012.
You should poll North Carolina and even in National if people support overturning Don't Ask Don't Tell and allow homosexuals to serve openly. Also you could see if people in North Carolina support a constitution ban on gay marriage.
Rudy Giuliani, who continues to keep the door open for another run in 2012, is one of the few Republicans out there with sufficient name recognition to render your poll results relevant and newsworthy. He's also perhaps the only potential GOPer out there who'd compete vs. Obama among moderates.
Polling relative unknowns like Pawlenty, Thune, Daniels, and even Petraeus has proven time and again to be rather pointless.
Jon Huntsman Jr. as the 5th Republican. As Governor of Utah he built a profile amongst the party and he's ducking a lot of heat from conservatives as Ambassador to China. Might not poll well against Obama, but interesting to see how the demographic split it.
Mike Pence please!
You want my suggestion, poll OHIO-17th District! Former Congressman Jim Traficant announced he will run as an Independent against Incumbent Tim Ryan (D), his former employee.
This was a SOLID-BLUE seat up until today when Traficant announced he would take on Ryan.
I highly recommend you guys poll this district. This will race will speak volumes to the TEA Party movement.
I second polling about offshore oil drilling. Would like to see if the oil spill has changed the views of North Carolina voters.
You should poll for Ron Paul if he isn't already one of your permanent people. And if it is an open primary state, you should poll all voters, I think. I wouldn't be surprised if his percentage at least doubled, given the breakdown in the Rasmussen poll done between him and Obama in a head to head race.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2012/election_2012_barack_obama_42_ron_paul_41
Given the publicity of the Arizona immigration law, be interested to see how Jan Brewer would poll.
Rand and Ron Paul
Gov. Gary Johnson is touring the country as head of a 501c group looking very much like someone who wants to run for president, i'd put him as the 5th Republican as he is very wealthy and would get support from Ron Paul voters if he doesn't run. No way would any other people mentioned here i.e Santorum, McDonnell etc. be able to run effectively and won't so it's essentially a waste of time. Johnson for inclusion at least looks like he is highly likely to run.
Guiliani
I still want to see a poll where Trey Grayson runs against both Rand Paul and Dan Mongiardo as an indpendent candidate.
Crist is giving it a shot, and if Grayson gets good numbers in such a poll, it might convince him to run as an independent and push PPP into the national spotlight.
I'd still like to see someone poll an Obama vs. Hillary, Obama vs. Dean, and/or Obama vs. Dean vs. Hillary 2012 Democratic primary doomsday scenario. Don't assume it can't happen. Kennedy ran against Carter in 1980, and the 1968 Democratic primary was a free-for-all after Johnson declined to run for a second term. Dean has already said that he will "not strongly" support Obama in 2012, and if Obama's approvals decline into the Carter Zone, or if he moves to far to the center after election losses this November, the left wing of the Democratic Party could consolidate behind another candidate.
I'd try throwing George Allen into the 2012 Republican primary. He's trying to make a political comeback, though it's probably for a 2012 Senate rematch with Webb. Still, we can see how much damage the "macaca" incident and subsequent loss of his Senate seat really did to his future in the Republican party 4-6 years later.
I'd really like to see Dick Cheney or Glenn Beck thrown in the mix, just to see how they do. Cheney vs. Obama and Beck vs. Obama would be very interesting to see!
As for the other questions... how about Puerto Rican statehood/independence? That was a bit of a hot topic recently, so folks might have thought about it. It would be intriguing to see the national thought on that topic.
Jan Brewer. She might be a little better known now than Generic R.
What about NC-2012? How is President Obama doing in this tossup state?
I'm not very familiar with American politics, and it's probably very unlikely he would choose to do, but I wonder how popular a justice would be if went for the republican ticket.
so, John Robert or Samuel Alito might be interesting to see in a poll imo
Gary Johnson should be on there.
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