Tuesday, September 30, 2008

McCrory takes lead

Pat McCrory 44
Bev Perdue 41
Michael Munger 5

For the first time in a PPP gubernatorial poll Pat McCrory has taken the lead.

Here are some of the reasons why:

-He's getting a decent amount of crossover support, holding Perdue to a 69-19 lead among Democrats.

-He's holding his own party's voters at a very high rate, 84-7, allowing almost no bleeding across party lines.

-He has a 38-32 advantage with independents.

-Perdue only has a three point lead with women.

-McCrory's running 14 points ahead of John McCain and 20 points ahead of Elizabeth Dole with urban voters.

Many Democrats are frustrated that Bev Perdue is not giving them any reason to vote for her rather than against McCrory. Her campaign has not had much of a focus on economic issues so far even though almost two thirds of voters in the state list it as their top concern. Those are a few of the things she'll have to get righted in the next five weeks to get the race headed back in her direction- she's done it before.

Full results here.

4 comments:

Matt said...

"Many Democrats are frustrated that Bev Perdue is not giving them any reason to vote for her rather than against McCrory."


EXACTLY right.

Adam Terando said...

So true.

All I hear her talk about is education. Which is important of course, but I'm sure she's running the same campaign as every Democratic guv. candidate since Jim Hunt that tries to tar the republican as cutting 1 billion dollars out of education. It just ain't working this year because the economy is in the tank. She needs to come up with a strong economic message and fast. Democratic governors have been able to kind of ignore an economic message in their campaigns and only address it obliquely through education.

Not gonna work this year. Get it together Bev.

Anonymous said...

Bev's education message is not working because 31% of our students do not graduate from high school.

Anonymous said...

Bev's education message is not working because 31% of our students do not graduate from high school.

 
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