Barack Obama 49
John McCain 48
Buoyed by a strong 54-37 edge with independent voters, Barack Obama has a small lead in Indiana.
Like in many states Obama is going into election day with a strong advantage. A little under a quarter of likely voters have already cast their ballots and with those folks Obama has a 64-35 lead. John McCain is up 52-44 with those planning to vote on election day.
Obama is keeping McCain's lead with white voters in the state in single digits, a necessity given its small black population. McCain is up 53-44 with white voters and Obama probably needs to keep him there in order to pull the upset.
Obama's success is also contingent on strong support from voters under 30, with whom he has a 56-39 lead. He needs them to turn out if he's going to take the state.
Full results here.