Wednesday, March 9, 2011

Palin in Arizona

Ben Smith reports that if Sarah Palin runs for President next year she'll base her campaign in Arizona.

We found last month that voters in Arizona don't care for Palin. Her favorability there is just 39%, with 57% of voters holding a negative opinion of her. We found that she would start out trailing Barack Obama in the state by a 49/41 margin. That would make her only the second Republican to lose the state since 1948.

In addition to having poor numbers for the general election in Arizona, Palin also lags a good deal among Republican voters. Mitt Romney's in first place there with 23%, followed by Mike Huckabee at 19%. Palin can muster only a third place tie with Newt Gingrich at 15%.

Voters in Arizona do at least like Palin better than the ones back home in Alaska do. Her favorability there is a 33/58 spread and she gets an identical 15% in the primary, which places her 4th in that state behind the triumvirate of Romney, Huckabee, and Gingrich.

Of course if Palin was going to make her headquarters somewhere voters like her the options are limited- you're probably talking Boise or Cheyenne.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

She truly would be Goldwater 48 years later. Except without half the IQ or the reverence by intellectuals.

Anonymous said...

wow! way to burst her bubble tom. also, no one cares cause she's not running.

Tom Jensen said...

Evidently you cared enough to post a comment on our blog

Kevin said...

When did you poll Alaska? Do you have the full post?

Dustin Ingalls said...

Kevin: Late last October:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AK_1031503.pdf

Brandt Hardin said...

If Palin were to be elected, would our country turn into the Wild West? Would there be mass exodus to Canada? I created a visual commentary about her role in the recent violent attacks on my artist's blog at http://dregstudiosart.blogspot.com/2011/01/sarah-palin-made-me-do-it.html Drop by and let me know what YOU think!

Jonny V said...

I think I'm coming to the sad realization that Palin isn't going to run :(

I really wanted to watch her torpedo the Republican Party in 2012.

 
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