And the Bachmentum just keeps rolling on...our new Republican primary poll in New Mexico finds her leading the field with 21% to 18% for Mitt Romney, 13% for Gary Johnson, 11% for Sarah Palin, 10% for Herman Cain, 7% for Tim Pawlenty, 6% for Newt Gingrich, and 5% for Ron Paul.
Bachmann's lead in New Mexico is built on strong support from the far right. 28% of 'very conservative' voters say she's their top choice to 16% for Palin and 12% for Romney. Johnson has the upper hand with moderate voters- 21% to Romney's 18% and Bachmann's 14%. And Romney has the advantage with voters just to the right of center- 27% to Bachmann's 14% and Johnson's 13% with 'somewhat conservative' folks. But that 'very conservative' voter bloc is the largest part of the Republican electorate in New Mexico at 43% and that lead with them gives Bachmann the overall advantage.
The most popular of the Republican candidates, as measured by favorability rating, is Palin at 62/27. The big question with her poor horse race performance is this- are people not supporting her because they don't think she's Presidential material, even if they personally like her? Or is her low support because people don't think she's running? If it's the former her prospects aren't very good but if it's the latter and she does end up entering the race there could be an immediate, significant improvement in her numbers.
Johnson has the weakest favorability numbers with his home state Republican primary voters at 47/40. Some of his unorthodox positions aren't playing well with the base, even if they do give him an unusual level of popularity across party lines with Democrats and independents.
When Sarah Palin and Gary Johnson aren't included in the poll Bachmann leads with 27% to 23% for Romney, 12% for Cain, 8% for Paul, 7% for Pawlenty, 6% for Gingrich, and 4% for Jon Huntsman. When Palin's included but Johnson is not Bachmann and Romney tie at 22% with Palin at 14%, Cain at 10%, Paul and Pawlenty at 7%, Gingrich at 4%, and Huntsman at 3%.
Full results here