Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Palin State by State June Update

Since Sarah Palin has been in the news a lot recently it seems like a good time to review her state by state favorability numbers.

We have now polled on Palin's favorability in 31 states. Voters in all 31 of those states have a negative opinion of her.

-12 of the states where we've polled on Palin went for John McCain in 2008. Her average favorability in those GOP friendly states is 38/54.

-8 of the states where we've polled are ones that George W. Bush won in 2004 and Barack Obama won in 2008- obviously the ones that will be most important to Republican prospects of taking back the White House. Her average favorability in those vital swing states is 32/61.

-There's been a lot of recent buzz that Palin is moving to Arizona. She will be getting away from a state where she is unpopular (33/58 favorability in Alaska), but she is moving to one where she's even more unpopular (32/62 favorability in Arizona.)

I'm sure there is some state where Sarah Palin is popular...but I'm not sure we'll ever get around to polling the Oklahomas or Idahos or Utahs of the world. Here are Palin's state by state numbers:

State

Palin Favorability

Spread

West Virginia

41/47

-6

Montana

44/50

-6

Mississippi

42/50

-8

Nebraska

42/50

-8

Texas

42/53

-11

Tennessee

39/51

-12

South Dakota

37/55

-18

Georgia

35/56

-21

Missouri

33/56

-23

Ohio

34/58

-24

South Carolina

34/58

-24

Minnesota

35/60

-25

Alaska

33/58

-25

Michigan

34/60

-26

North Carolina

32/59

-27

Nevada

34/61

-27

Florida

32/60

-28

Pennsylvania

33/61

-28

Colorado

32/62

-30

Arizona

32/62

-30

Wisconsin

32/63

-31

Virginia

31/62

-32

Maine

31/64

-33

New Mexico

31/64

-33

Iowa

29/63

-34

Washington

29/65

-36

New Jersey

27/65

-38

California

28/67

-39

New Hampshire

28/67

-39

Massachusetts

27/68

-41

Rhode Island

24/69

-45

10 comments:

Anonymous said...

It's true. Palin has been so maligned and mercilessly attacked that she is not very popular. However, your bogus polls are not anywhere close to reality. I know the game many polling firms play: Generate bogus polls most of the time to acheive a political result and then conduct a few properly sampled polls, closer to actual election dates, that more closely reflect reality to be considered at least somewhat reliable.

Anonymous said...

"Your comment has been saved and will be visible after blog owner approval." I won't hold my breath.

Anonymous said...

Her polls have been consistently VERY LOW by different pollsters as well, Anonymous. Not to mention, PPP has been very accurate (NY-26, anyone?). Maybe it's time you accept the truth before you get your hopes smashed in 2012.

NRH said...

Please do hold your breath, Anon. It's obvious that you don't have much to fear from brain damage.

Bonncaruso said...

"t's true. Palin has been so maligned and mercilessly attacked that she is not very popular. However, your bogus polls are not anywhere close to reality. I know the game many polling firms play: Generate bogus polls most of the time to acheive a political result and then conduct a few properly sampled polls, closer to actual election dates, that more closely reflect reality to be considered at least somewhat reliable. "

ah, yet another pre-programmed conservabot. I assume he or she or it was talking about Rasmussen. Hey, anon, go to this website to complain.

Anonymous said...

In which states is she more popular than Obama? That would be interesting to see.

I Am Iron Man said...

This seems like a reasonable indicator of the average intelligence of the people of each state.

The higher Palin's favorables, the dumber the people.

Custom essay writing said...

well it's true that Palin favor is more higher as compare to Obama but in other case Obama wins & become a US president so the favor shouldn't work to make come up Palin.

Terry said...

@ Custom essay writing.....

Please take a beginner's writing class before posting in English again. My apologies only if English isn't your first language and you've really tried to improve you language skills. Otherwise, please don't embarrass yourself and subject the rest of us to deciphering what the hell it is your trying to say..

ChicagoJohn said...

I'm I the only one who missed the giant yawning chasm in this article?

A SOURCE?

Since when are people able to say poll numbers without listing where they got their poll numbers from?

 
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