Sunday's New York Times has an in depth look at Barack Obama's chances of taking North Carolina.
Several pieces of PPP analysis made it into the story- here is the look we took at what percentage of the electorate black voters might need to comprise for Obama to win, and here's how we arrived at the estimate that John Kerry received about 32% of the white vote in the state rather than the 27% that the state's exit poll reported.
Marc Farinella, Obama's state director, argues that migration to the state is a trend favoring Democrats. We did a poll last month that showed some evidence in that direction.
It's a good story, check it out. Kit Seelye had the best handle on polling of about any reporter I've ever spoken to.