In addition to Democrats who actually vote for Democrats replacing those who do not in the population, the increased representation of independents among those who have migrated to the state has the potential to turn it bluer as well:
| Office | Native Independents | Non-Native Independents |
| President | John McCain 47-22 | Barack Obama 50-32 |
| Senate | Elizabeth Dole 37-30 | Kay Hagan 45-26 |
| Governor | Pat McCrory 35-30 | Bev Perdue 47-27 |
3 comments:
Your numbers are messed up.
Perdue isn't running for Senate, and Hagan isn't running for Governor
Oops. Thanks for the heads up, I fixed it.
Non-native typically register as Indies when they first arrive, and then later identify with one party or the other. I see the non-native Indies as occupying a holding position till they assmilate further and feel comfortable identifying themselves with either party. If true, expect Dem registration numbers to pick up in the next decade (by the way Dem registration numbers are already up this year, Reps (at least in terms of percentage share) have DECLINED, and Indies are up).
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