Barack Obama 50
John McCain 48
There is good news and bad news for Barack Obama in Ohio.
The bad news:
-His lead in the state is down from seven points in a PPP survey a week and a half ago to now just two.
-He is losing ground among white voters. Last week he trailed just 49-46. Now it's 55-43.
-Undecided independents seem to be moving in McCain's direction. Last week Obama was up 48-36 with that group, now it's 49-46.
The good news:
-Even though Obama's margin has gone down a good bit, his actual standing is pretty much the same as last week. There is little fundamental difference between 50% and 51%.
-He's banked a huge lead with early voters, who made up about 30% of the sample. He's up 65-34 with those folks. McCain's tightening the race to two points is predicated on his winning election day voters 54-44.
-Democrats don't need Ohio to win this year. In 2004 John Kerry's path to the White House pretty much had to go through Ohio. Obama would sure like to win the state, but it isn't a deal breaker for him the way it was for the Democrats last time.
In Ohio's race for Attorney General Democrat Richard Cordray leads 50-38.
Full results here.