Data-nerd Nate Silver already came to the same conclusion: Palin's strength is not in the south. Besides, the relevant tests will still be IA and SC (NH would likely go for Romney). Both IA and SC are expected to be stronger Palin states than NC or GA or TX or NM.
If Palin has momentum from IA and SC she will have more success in the south. SC looks more favorable for her than GA or TX or NM anyway.http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/02/first-look-at-palins-primary-math.html
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