Mitt Romney is the early favorite for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination among the party's voters in Colorado and Florida. Romney also led recent polls in New Mexico and Texas, and was second behind Mike Huckabee in both Georgia and North Carolina. Sarah Palin has not had the lead in any of the six states we've polled over the last month.
Florida's the first really important stop on the GOP calendar that we've looked at, and Romney's lead there is overwhelming. He gets 52% to 21% for Huckabee and 18% for Palin. It's closer, but still a double digit advantage, in Colorado. There Romney gets 44% to 25% for Palin and 17% for Huckabee.
In each state Romney has a big advantage with both moderates and conservatives, although he is particularly strong at this point with the center of his party. In Florida he leads Huckabee by 28 with conservatives and has a 36 point advantage over both Huckabee and Palin with moderates. In Colorado he's up 8 on Palin with conservatives, but leads her by 41 with moderates.
One particular source of strength for Romney at this very early stage is that he's doing even better with senior citizens than the overall electorate. In Florida he's up 47 with voters over 65 and in Colorado it's a 21 point margin.
How much does any of this matter at this point? Probably not a whole lot- things will change a ton over the next two years- but it's always better to be doing well in the polls than poorly. The six states we've looked at provide good news for Romney, ok news for Huckabee, and perhaps an indication that while Republican voters like Sarah Palin they aren't too into her as their 2012 nominee.
Full results here