Monday, April 19, 2010

PA-12 Poll Preview

Some Democrats may not be thrilled Mark Critz is emphasizing his opposition to the health care bill as he seeks to replace John Murtha in the House, but after polling the district it's hard to see that as anything but necessary for survival. Only 28% of voters in the district express support for it with 59% opposed. Even Democrats there support it by just a 43/39 margin.

Obama's overall approval rating in the district is 33%, with 57% of voters disapproving of him. It's hard to imagine any Democrat winning an open seat this year where the President is that unpopular but it's still a close race. We'll have the full numbers out tomorrow.

11 comments:

Roffle said...

Not surprising then that Critz is running against Obamacare. I'm sure that was a fun conversation when he appealed to the DCCC and Pelosi for cash.

Christian Liberty said...

Democrats will find nationwide that opposition to Obama's health care Deform is necessary for survival. The longer they deny how unpopular Obamacare is, the more they will suffer the wrath of the American people.

Anonymous said...

If this is how Democrats fare in rural areas, it seems that '10 might be worse for Democrats than conventional wisdom. I just need a VA-9 poll of Griffith vs. Rep. Boucher to confirm my suspicions.

Anonymous said...

This makes me think that Nov. will be brutal. Just BRUTAL

moshe said...

Can't wait for November!

Anonymous said...

I don't understand how Obama can be so unpopular in places where he didn't fare so bad in '08

wt said...

Crtiz claims that Burns supports "tax breaks for companies who ship jobs overseas" because he's against raising taxes across the board, i.e. on anyone.

By that logic, Critz apparently supports creating jobs, even for mass murderers.

Dems trying the same tactic in Hawaii. http://factcheck.org/2010/04/a-false-tax-attack/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=facebook

Fact Check calls it false.

Hopefully Critz will be embarrassed enough to drop out of the race.

Dave said...

Obama did fare badly in these places in 2008. He lost all of the Appalachian Trail, OH-6, OH-18, WV-1, WV-2, WV-3, PA-3, PA-4, PA-5, PA-12, PA-18, VA-5, VA-6, VA-9, KY-4, KY-5, KY-6. TN-1, TN-2, TN-3. GA-9, and GA-11. He only won Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Ohio due to the urban and suburban areas.

These people supported Hillary Clinton but never warmed up to Obama. He comes across like an egghead intellectual to them and really they're all just clinging to their guns and religion.

Anonymous said...

Gore won this district by 11, Kerry won it by 2, Obama lost it by one. I'm not sure if that trend will help predict who will win but if I had to make a guess I'd say this one is going red. I think that main indicator that this one will go red is that Obama is massively unpopular. I remember when seeing that Obama had a 65% approval rating in NY-20 in the Siena poll thinking that one is going to go blue, I think this one is the same thing in reverse.

Anonymous said...

PPPcare seems designed for make happy all these republicans.

Obamacare is better, of course.

Christian Liberty said...

@Anonymus

"I don't understand how Obama can be so unpopular in places where he didn't fare so bad in '08"

Because Obama fraudulently ran as a moderate... and now he and his party are exposing themselves for the radicals that they really are... no surprise at all that America rejects the Democrats' real record.

 
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