We've been breaking everything on our national poll this week down by whether respondents have ever smoked Marijuana before and here's one I wasn't expecting: Sarah Palin is the top choice for the 2012 GOP nomination among Republicans who have.
Granted it's a sample size of just 83 and her lead is within the margin of error but it's still kind of amusing.
Among Republicans who say they've smoked Marijuana:
Palin 25
Gingrich 22
Huckabee 17
Romney 17
Paul 8
Among Republicans who say they have not smoked Marijuana:
Huckabee 24
Romney 23
Gingrich 21
Palin 21
Paul 3
We'll have the full results out Monday.
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21 comments:
Can you give a hint as to the overall sample size? 350 republican primary voters?
Do you think it's an issue when polling for a primary election using the same sample polled for a general election because it seems that 50% of the general election sample is likely to vote in the primary election? That seems to be way too high of a number of general election voters voting in a primary.
That may be because Palin is most popular with the younger generation of Republicans (correct me if I'm wrong), and younger people are more likely at least to admit to smoking marijuana (correct me if I'm wrong).
Odd, I would have thought Ron Paul would have come in much higher than he did in a group such as this, as he is the only one who supports legalization.
But then again, maybe people who have smoked Pot and are republicans have had the good sense to realize how it destroys you and realize that legalization is not preferable.
You should poll Republican candidates who say they've smoked marijuana, which is how I read this initially. Rand "bong hits" Paul would do pretty well, I imagine. Not sure about his old man. Sarah "5 colleges in 6 years" might too.
Anonymous:
"Odd, I would have thought Ron Paul would have come in much higher than he did in a group such as this, as he is the only one who supports legalization."
Do we need any more proof that Ron Paul isn't a viable candidate? Not even the potheads prefer him.
I estimate the final result is:
Palin 23%
Huckabee 22%
Gingrich 21%
Romney 21%
Paul 5%
How close am I?
AND................???
400 people were sampled in July's survey. That should help.
Ron Paul seems unusually low; he just pulled 13% in PPP's NH poll, and 10% in CNN's 2012 national poll.
He does well among independents (many of whom will vote in Rep Primary), and if you're only polling republicans, these people will be overlooked.
I would say Huckabee 23%, Romney and Palin 22%, Gingrich 21%, Paul 4%.
Nah, Anonymous @ 3:21.
It's closer to
Huckabee 23
Romney 22
Palin 22
Gingrich 21
Paul 4
Steven,
But July's survey of 400 primary voters came from a general election sample of around 667 voters.
Wouldn't that be 'with Republicans willing to ADMIT they'd smoked marijuana?' Given its illegal status, the admission itself may selfdetermine the result a bit.
Palin is most popular with middle class socially conservative men and moms. Her "mama grizzlies." She has no special appeal to younger Republicans. Paul does.
Since Obama has a huge lead for democrats, I assume he's the clear pothead candidate on the left?
Ironic since Ron Paul is the one who is for legalizing pot.
From Wikipedia, that bastion of conservatism:
"Public Policy Polling is an American, Democratic-Party affiliated polling firm based in Raleigh, North Carolina. PPP was founded in 2001 by businessman and Democratic pollster Dean Debnam, the firm's current president and chief executive officer...
The neutrality of PPP's survey's have been questioned since the firms private clients are exclusively Democratic-affiliated organizations, and because surveys on health care reform have included polarizing questions such as if respondents think President Barack Obama is the "Anti Christ."'
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_Policy_Polling
Have you thought about categorizing the favorables after who supports who? I'm just thinking, it might be interesting to know how high Mike Huckabee's favorables are among those who vote for Romney/Palin and how high Gingrich's favorables are among Huckabee's supporters and so on. It might say something about where the votes would go if one of the candidates would not run.
This is surely some joke.
Public Policy Polling must be so desperate to get attention to even ask this question.
"I estimate the final result is:
Palin 23%
Huckabee 22%
Gingrich 21%
Romney 21%
Paul 5%
How close am I?"
Pretty close, but wrong winner.
"He does well among independents (many of whom will vote in Rep Primary), and if you're only polling republicans, these people will be overlooked."
As always, these numbers are among those who say they usually vote in R primaries.
Sadly this is not accurate nor even impressive as a political smear tool, this is just stupid
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