Monday, June 9, 2008

Polling in the new campaign

It's going to be very interesting to see state by state polling in the next few weeks now that Hillary is out of the race and has endorsed Obama.

Our most recent poll, conducted a week and a half ago, found only 58% of Hillary supporters would support Barack Obama against John McCain.

But check out this comment from Paula Dorn of Shallotte, NC in the Charlotte Observer last week:
“If you'd asked me a week ago, I probably would have said I wouldn't vote for Barack Obama,” Dorn, 49, said Tuesday. “At that point I was much angrier. I've had time to relax.”
If a good chunk of those 42% of Hillary folks we polled last month who didn't say they supported Obama are like Paula Dorn, I expect we're going to see the poll numbers by state point to a take of more than 300 electoral votes for Obama by the end of the month.


Anonymous said...

Good point. I've been saying for awhile that, assuming no game changing events over the next five months, Obama has a higher probability of topping 300 EV than McCain does of reaching 270. Of course, only time will tell.

Anonymous said...

Do you know Rom Gold? I like it.
My brother often go to the internet bar to buy Runes of Magic Gold and play it.
After school, He likes playing games using these Runes of Magic money with his friends.
I do not like to play it. Because I think that it not only costs much money but also spend much time. One day, he give me many buy Rom Goldand play the game with me.
I came to the bar following him and found cheap Runes of Magic Goldwas so cheap. After that, I also go to play game with him.

Web Statistics