PPP has released a new report comparing the voting preferences of native North Carolinians to non-native North Carolinians. I am posting the report on the blog in four posts- this is post one. You can read the whole report
here.A new analysis by Public Policy Polling comparing the voting preferences of
North Carolinians who were born here to those who have moved into the state provides evidence that the state could trend more Democratic, particularly at the federal level, in the coming election cycles.
The Big Picture
In its simplest form, the evidence shows that native North Carolinians are supporting Republican candidates for the major statewide offices this year, while migrants to the state are supporting Democrats:
| Office | Native North Carolinians | Non-Native North Carolinians |
| President | McCain 48 Obama 40 | Obama 46 McCain 41 |
| Senate | Dole 42 Hagan 39 | Hagan 47 Dole 35 |
| Governor | McCrory 41 Perdue 41 | Perdue 46 McCrory 35 |
Newer North Carolina residents support the Democratic candidate more by a margin of anywhere from 11-15 points in the races for President, Governor, and Senate.
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