Barack Obama 52
John McCain 43
There has been little movement in Virginia since PPP showed Obama leading there by eight points two and a half weeks ago.
Obama's having success in the state for the same reasons he is in other battlegrounds:
-Strong support from independent voters. He's up 48-39 with them in Virginia.
-A party that's just as unified as the Republicans are. For our third Virginia poll in a row he is actually doing slightly better with Democrats- 89-8- than John McCain is with Republicans- 88-10.
-A competitive performance with white voters. He trails only 53-42 with them in a state where McCain would likely need at least a 60-40 split to win.
-Overwhelming support from new voters. He's up 61-24 with those who did not vote in 2004.
-Voters making their choice on the economy. 59% of them are, and Obama has a 63-32 lead within that group.
Mark Warner leads Jim Gilmore 60-32 for the state's open Senate seat.
Full results here