Excellent news, thanks Tom.May I suggest that you ask about how voters voted in the Democratic primary?
I'm confused... The state wasn't included in the poll above though! Are you also going to poll Indiana?
Yes we'll do Indiana too assuming it keeps its lead.
Awesome! Iwould say WV is closer than anyone could have ever imagined. I am now on my way to vote early here in NC! Looking foward to seeing those WV results!
Wait, so the WV sample won't be random? Won't that give unusable results?
Anonymous,What makes you think it's not random? I think the point is that it's an up to date random sample of likely voters.
colorado should be polled relentlessly
Adam is correct.
has anyone ever won a state after losing its primary by 40+ points?
Garrett,McCain is going to win Utah (he lost it to Mitt Romney by 85 points), Bill Clinton won Iowa despite the fact he was beaten by a similar margin against Tom Harkin. If Hillary Clinton would've (by some miracle) won the nomination, she would've won Hawaii (lost it by 50 points) Maryland (lost it by 25 points), Illinois (lost it by 32 points), Washington State (she lost by 37 points), Washington DC (she lost by 52 points) and would've probably won Minnesota (she lost it by 34 points).
Tom, What's your current estimated schedule?No teasers?
So lets see. Next week there will be a FLA poll, an Indiana poll, perhaps a WVA poll, and are you still doing a weekly NC poll? That would be 4 polls in one week, that is a lot of work.
thanks, elliot. very good examples.
That *is* a lot of work. And we poll junkies really appreciate it! Thanks PPP!
The problem with Obama in states where he lost the primaries by 20 points is primarily that he didn't lose very many states by 20 points. There were the Appalachian states and Arkansas, if I remember correctly, although he did lose New York by 17 points.
Perhaps the problem for Obama wasn't that he was unpalatable to Appalachians but that Clinton simply had a tremendous amount of support there.
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