After Democrats dominated the 2008 election in Nevada and Colorado, Senators Harry Reid and Michael Bennet have both been struggling in the polls so far this cycle. Part of the reason for their trouble has been an under performance with Hispanic voters. While Barack Obama won by 54 points with them in Nevada, Reid had only a 27 point advantage over Sue Lowden with them on our most recent poll. It's a similar story in Colorado. Obama had a 23 point advantage with them in 2008, but Bennet's lead over Jane Norton was just 47-35 when we polled the state in March.
Jan Brewer may well have handed Reid and Bennet the issue that will get Hispanics back to voting Democratic at the same levels they did in 2008. We've already seen a huge increase in Terry Goddard's support among Hispanic voters since the new Arizona immigration law was passed, and it's certainly something that could get Hispanics throughout the region rethinking their willingness to vote for Republicans this year.
How much of a difference would Reid and Bennet simply matching Obama's level of support among Hispanics in their states make? It would take 5 points off Reid's current polling deficit, about half of the margin in most polls. And it would give Bennet a two point advantage in our numbers, enough to turn a tie into a small lead.
It will be interesting to see what Democrats are able to do with this issue they've been handed.