There may be a lesson in the results of our monthly 2012 Presidential poll: the less angry a Republican you are the better you do against Barack Obama.
Mike Huckabee is the only possible GOP contender polling ahead of Obama this month, at 47/44. Going from arguably most pleasant to most angry across the spectrum of leading Republicans you then have Obama ahead of Mitt Romney 46-43, Newt Gingrich 47-43, Sarah Palin 49-43, and Glenn Beck 48-39.
Huckabee is the only candidate we polled this month to post positive favorability numbers, at 35/32. That's because he's relatively inoffensive to Democrats with only 44% having an unfavorable opinion of him. Mitt Romney's favorability numbers are only slightly negative at 33/35. The rest of the GOP folks are highly unpopular with Beck's favorability at 31/41, Palin's at 38/52, and Gingrich's at 30/50.
We also asked generally whether people would vote for Obama in 2012 or vote for his Republican opponent and that came out dead even at 47%. Those numbers tell us 2 things: 1) that Romney, Gingrich, and Palin are all weaker than a generic GOP nominee and 2) that it may be a little premature to write Obama's political obituary given that he's running even at a very, very bad time for his party.
Another interesting thing about this month's numbers is that among the serious GOP hopefuls the better known they are the worst they do against Obama. Huckabee has the lowest name recognition but the best horse race numbers while Palin has the highest name recognition and the worst horse race numbers.
Going deeper on Beck's favorability numbers he's viewed favorably by Republicans at 59/14 but negatively by Democrats at 11/60 and also by independents at 24/52. Beck's numbers with indys make Palin look like Ms. Popularity in comparison- 34% have a favorable opinion of her.
The takeaway from this poll is about the same as every month- Obama's pretty weak but his likely opposition is pretty darn weak too and particularly in the cases of Gingrich and Palin weaker than him.
Full results here