Friday, September 18, 2009

Coming next week...


-Part 1 of our Arizona poll, which focuses primarily on the question of whether Barack Obama is in position (at this very early stage) to win the state in 2012 without John McCain on the ballot. We're testing him against Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, and Mitt Romney as well as looking at his approval and health care numbers.


-Part 1 of our national poll, the most important aspects of which are our monthly look at Obama's approval rating, as well as how the numbers have moved on health care over the last month. We'll also continue our look at extremism in American public opinion.

-Part 2 of our Arizona poll, which will look at the Governor's race. Approval ratings on Jan Brewer, favorabilities on likely Democratic nominee Terry Goddard and potential Republican primary challengers Dean Martin and Fife Symington, and horse race match ups involving those folks in all the likely permutations.


-Part 2 of our national poll, which is the monthly look toward 2012. Can American stomach another Bush? We're swapping Jeb in for Newt Gingrich this time, as well as taking our normal looks at Huckabee, Palin, and Romney.

-Part 3 of our Arizona poll, which will look at whether John McCain is at all vulnerable in a primary or general election. We're shooting for the stars by testing the unlikely Janet Napolitano and Gabrielle Giffords, as well as the more likely Rodney Glassman.


-Today I took calls from listeners to Shawn Wasson on WGN-AM in Chicago about things they'd like to see polling data on and several people brought up term limits. So on our national poll we're looking at both whether people would like to dump them for the President and implement them for the Congress.

It's going to be a busy week...stay tuned!


Anonymous said...

Any update so far on AZ?

I'm predicting 42/53 for Obama in Arizona.

But he'll be still leading Jeb Bush.

Anonymous said...

Also, are you polling AZ in 2012 using a 2010 likely voter screen?

Wouldn't you agree that the difference wouldn't be as dramatic in a non-competitive state such as AZ as it is in VA and NJ?

Then again, I'm not conceding that the likely voter screen in NJ and VA is too different from the likely voter screen for 2012 but that is the argument that you have been making.

Unknown said...

stop wasting time on Palin, she isn't gunna win anything. Newt and Pawlenty are much more likely to win and or run in 2012.

Anonymous said...

Is what Rush said true? Are Democrat political consultants begging you not to poll certain states?

Anonymous said...

Yeah, you could have polled Kyl vs Napolitano. It's more likely she will run then than in 2010 with her new cabinet position.

Anonymous said...

Are you polling Chris Simcox republican for arizona senate?

Rasmus said...

Sure that's true. That's why they let their readers decide whom to poll. Because we're all Democratic political consultants paid by George Soros!

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