This may seem counter intuitive but the news that Bob Etheridge is not running for the Senate is good news for Democrats.
At this point the chances of a Republican taking over his open Congressional seat are better than the chances of his beating Richard Burr would have been.
The political climate may turn around for Democrats by this time next year, and if it does I'm confident whoever the party's nominee is will have a very good chance of beating Richard Burr. But as things stand today an Etheridge candidacy was not worth the risk of losing his House seat. I don't think 2010 is going to be a good year for Democratic politicians to gamble.
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Questions or Comments?
4 comments:
"This may seem counter intuitive but the news that Bob Etheridge is not running for the Senate is good news for Democrats."
Take note, my friends. That is some excellent spin.
Tom,
Any thoughts on Rasmussen's finding that Bachmann has a higher net in terms of approval than either Pawlenty or Obama statewide in Minnesota?
She's at 51/45, Obama is at 51/48, Pawlenty is at 52/48
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/mn_ratings_pawlenty_2012_rasmu.php
I honestly don't get why more Dems are lining up to challenge Burr. The DSCC considers him one of the most vulnerable senators in the country AND after a year Obama's favorability (which may very well rub off on whoever the Democratic nominee is) is unchanged in North Carolina.
Daniel - I believe you answered your own question.
"The DSCC considers him one of the most vulnerable senators..."
The DSCC isn't a North Carolina Democrat. The DSCC has no idea what's going on in North Carolina. And the DSCC criticism of Burr in its attempt to recruit somebody, anybody is just SPIN that potential candidates who actually live in North Carolina see right through. If they're smart, that is.
And when the DSCC has to start playing aggressive defense in CT... NV... IL... CO... AR... maybe ND... and maybe CA... it makes NC that much tougher to play offense in.
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