Now that the election's over we can poll something other than Virginia and New Jersey! Please make your suggestions on where you'd like us to poll next week in the comments and I'll pick some finalists and let you vote next week.
The above is for statewide races, we've also picked some southern Congressional seats to take a look at over the next month that we think could say a lot about 2010- Vic Snyder in Arkansas, Larry Kissell in North Carolina, and Rick Boucher in Virginia.
Finally for any of you in DC I'll be on a 2010 election preview panel hosted by Taegan Goddard of Political Wire on Tuesday, November 17th...event registration details here...you should come out!
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31 comments:
I'd like to see where the Specter/Sestak race is right now - maybe throw in the PA Gubernatorial as well
I would like to see polling of Republican vulnerable Senate seats (OH, MO) and Democratic vulnerable Senate seats (AR, CT, CO, NV, DE, IL, PA). Also would like to see polling on Obama - do you think he is trying to implement "change" too quickly, about right, or not quickly enough.
Kentucky Senate Primary and the Florida Senate Primary.
Illinois's Senate race has been way under-polled, as has Missouri's!
Pennsylvania has an open Governor's race and a top-tier Senate race (primary and general). You might also take your own baseline look at New York (both Senate seats are up and so is the Governor).
Ohio with Portman/Fisher and Portman/Brunner, please.
Also, CT could be interesting to see if Dodd has stopped his bleeding.
For another congressional race, perhaps Tom Perriello in VA?
I know you said statewide races, but I'd love to see a Tulsa (OK) mayoral poll before Tuesday's election... interesting, and potentially, three-way race shaping up.
That, and/or an OK GOP Gubernatorial poll.
I guess Illinois Senate and Gov primary races since they're in February.
I would really like to see polling on Iowa senate race due to conlins announcement today. The Georgia senate race is also a sleeper race, Isakson has been polling miserably for a republican incumbent in such a deep red state, I saw he was hitting 50% against hypothetical like Jim Martin.
NH sen with the teabagger (Olivide?) in the primary and the general.
Some also say Byron Dorgan is vulnerable up in North Dakota, so that would be a good one to poll.
I second the suggestion for Tom Perriello (VA-05) since he has been under attack for his entire term.
Important race in Virginia in 2010. Thanks Tom.
Ohio Senate - Portman v. Fishe (brunner ain't even gonna make it to the primary nevermind win the primary) and Ohio guv - Kasich v. Strickland ...... also FL GOP primary and Rubio v. Meek in the general.
I'm going to renominate Georgia. I think there's a lot of potential for the Democrats against Isakson if one of the 500 people in the Dem primary for Governor switched races.
Also, although it's seen a little more polling recently, Delaware has been anointed by the media as the Republicans surest bet for a pickup in 2010. I'd be interested to see if that's a warranted analysis.
I agree with the Specter/Sestak race, as well as GE matchups with Toomey
Congressional- Cao in LA.
Senate/Gub- Ohio has competitive Senate and Gubernatorial races next year. Missouri has an under polled Senate race. NH Senate and Gov?
Massachusetts senate primary and Coakley vs Brown
Yeah I second the Illinois Senate and Gubernatorial races. Also, even though I'm from Chicago and try to keep up with local and statewide politics I have no idea who's vying for Kirk's seat...
Kentucky is good too. Oooh and Pennsylvania is always fun. Okay so here's my requests:
1. Illinois Gov & Sen.
2. Kentucky Senate
3. Pennsylvania (although it's been done to death, hence third place).
Oh and Delaware would be good too!
I agree that Illinois' primaries would be cool to poll. They're potentially competitive enough to deserve a look (Especially the Democratic primary for Governor). It's also a great chance to see if Mark Kirk's fears of being challenged from the right are well founded or not.
I'll throw out a dark horse pick too: South Carolina. The Republican primary for Governor is definitely worth a look. Also general election polling: has Mark Sanford harmed the Republican brand? And how do voters feel about his possible impeachment now that his actions have had time to set in and the next session of the legislator is close? Also, how to voters feel about Lindsey Graham's relative bi- partisanship and Jim DeMint's newfound status as a right-wing icon? South Carolina's conservative, but is DeMint possibly to it's right?
I'd love to see either of these states polled. Illinois is my first choice but South Carolina is worth consideration too.
What's the plan on the House races, PPP? Do you plan to include real match ups or just reelect numbers? (Match up numbers would be more reflective of just how good/or bad someone is doing)
I suggest PA-SEN, and PA-GOV and second VA-05.
I would love approval numbers for Obama, Baucus and Rehberg in Montana, and reelects for Rehberg. DKos/R2K has his favorables at a measly 46/45, and he is usually seen as invulnerable.
His Democratic challengers are too unknown to poll a direct matchup tho.
Do some favorability numbers of Graham in South Carolina. The GOP right has been bashing him as a "mushy moderate" non-stop for the last few months. South Carolinians have him a bigger win than McCain in 2008, but it'll be interesting to see if the Far-Right has enough muscle to derail the careers of long-standing incumbents of the GOP.
Now that PPP proved its ability to poll gay marriage, maybe look at California again.
Along with the gov primaries (esp now that DiFi has hinted interest again, and the field is becoming more clear), and the Senate.
The other suggestions on here are great. So I wouldn't rush to California, but maybe in a month or two.
Pennsylvania and North Dakota are my two biggest interests.
ND has the best economy of all the states, and I wonder if Obama will poll better there because of that. PA is interesting because of the Specter mess.
I still haven't seen some quality polling in CA for both gubernatorial and senate (not that Fiorina has annouced).
I wouldn't mind seeing more on the generic Congressional horserace nationwide, and broken down by regions of the country. I'd be willing to bet Dems are in great shape for 2010 every place but the south, which as luck would have it, there aren't many Democratic seats in Dixie to worry about.
I'd like to see a national generic house ballot and state-specific generic house ballots (Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, Texas, California, New York, Illinois).
Obama approval.
Senate contests (both general and primary in every permutation possible) in: PA, OH, MO, AR, CT, CO, NV, DE, IL, FL, KY, NY-B, NH, ND, SD, TX.
I would particularly like to see a variety of polls out of Texas:
a) Gov(R) - Hutchison v. Perry
b) Gov - Hutchison v. Sharp
c) Gov - Perry v. Sharp
d) Gov(D) - Sharp v. Gilbert
e) Gov - Hutchison v. Gilbert
f) Gov - Perry v. Gilbert
g) Sen(D) - White v. Sharp
h) Sen - Dewhurst v. White
i) Opinion: "Should Senator Hutchison resign her senate seat before challenging Perry in the Republican primary for governor?"
j) Perry approval
k) Hutchison approval
I'd also like to see some polling nationwide done on gay marriage.
How about SC? There has been no (to my knowledge) polling on the impact of Sanford on the governor's race there.
I'd like to see VA-05 polled. Perriello v Hurt and maybe with the possibility of a third party candidate (Rees) thrown in as well.
A question: Do you (and if not, would you be willing to) poll in Spanish for certain races where the hispanic vote might be crucial?
For instance, I see no point in polling on the Crist v. Rubio primary for Florida Senate unless you are able to adequately poll Cuban, Mexican, Puerto Rican, and other hispanic voters in the state.
I would think this would certainly have an impact on results in the southwestern state, New York, Pennsylvania, and California races as well.
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