| Date | Palin Favorability | Horse Race |
| 9/7 | 45/34 | McCain +5 |
| 9/28 | 40/41 | ? |
What's your guess? This will be out tomorrow afternoon.
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The Wall Street Journal ranked PPP as one of the top swing state pollsters in the country last year. (11-6-08 WSJ)
Wall Street Journal Swing State Polls Chart
The Wall Street Journal ranked PPP as one of the top swing state pollsters in the country last year. (11-6-08 WSJ)
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Contact Tom Jensen at tomj@publicpolicypolling.com or 919-744-6312 to discuss your project.
Contact Tom Jensen at tomj@publicpolicypolling.com or 919-744-6312 to discuss your project.
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2008
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September
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- Council of State Numbers
- We've been here before
- McCrory takes lead
- Obama takes a small lead in Florida
- Your Florida Clue
- Hagan expanding lead
- The Declining Popularity of Sarah Palin
- Obama takes the lead in North Carolina
- North Carolina Poll
- McHenry is wrong
- Florida
- Colorado's Swing Voters
- Wake County: Statewide Races
- Wake County Poll: Commissioners
- Suburban Independents in North Carolina
- Provincialism and the Governor's Race
- New Mexico's Swing Voters
- Obama, McCain, and Financial Stress
- Colorado Senate
- Colorado Poll
- Colorado Clue
- New Mexico Senate
- New Mexico President
- Council of State: Gains for Democrats
- NC Governor: Pretty Much the Same
- NC Senate: Hagan up 5
- Economy drives NC race into tie
- New North Carolina Poll
- I disagree
- Virginia: Suburbs will decide
- Persuadables in Ohio
- The Ballot
- Coming up...
- Palin's effect in Virginia
- White, Rural Democrats in North Carolina
- Diverging Virginia Polls
- Yes!
- Virginia President/Senate Poll
- Ticket Splitters in Focus
- Ohio: Palin Effect
- Ohio Poll
- Under the Dome Bias
- The Plan
- Exit Polls and Party ID
- Civitas Governor
- Black Voters in North Carolina
- Research 2000 NC Poll
- Civitas confirms PPP
- Convention Effects
- Colorado: VP Effect
- Colorado President
- Odds and Ends
- Ding Ding Ding
- NC Governor
- NC Senate
- NC President
- More on the SurveyUSA poll
- SurveyUSA NC Poll
- Florida Senate 2010
- Florida President
- Palin's effect in Michigan
- Michigan President/Senate
- Elon Poll Preview
- Sarah Palin
- Next Week
- What Bev needs to do
- Congress tabs from Democracy Corps
- More from the Democracy Corps Poll
- Democracy Corps Poll
- McCrory, Obama, and Charlotte
- NC 8: Good news for Obama and Hagan, not for Perdue
- NC 8: Hayes continues small lead
- People lie to pollsters
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September
(73)
Questions or Comments?
18 comments:
I'm going to field a guess and say that Obama is leading by 3 points, and if I'm right, you guys have to poll Utah just to be thorough :P
McCain +1?
this guy tom jensen is a prick,
i hope they have Obama winning virgina, colorado, florida, and north carolina in their last poll before election day,
that way when McCain wins this polling agency can go out of business maybe change its name like insider advantage did lol
Obama up by +4
Hah, why is Tom J. a "prick"? Just because he gives you results that you don't like to hear, Mr. Anonymouse?
PPP's reputation seems to be doing just fine, thank you very much.
I'm guessing McCain +2
McCain +2. The problem with the tease is that their is not enough information to gauge the impact of a 10 pt drop in Palin's favs/unfavs. Without something to measure against (for instance, when her favs/unfavs went from +10 to +5 McCain's lead went from +5 to +3) it really is nothing more than guessing blindfolded. At least with more info one could make a more educated guess, not so much with the limited info provided.
Here is a guess that is NOT based on the tease but on a verified poll result PPP gave out today NC +2 Obama. I heard a noted specialist in Southern politics comment on how VA, FLA, and NC move in relation to one another as of 2008. Essentially, this expert said VA would poll 3 pts better for Dems than FLA and VA would poll 5 pts better for Dems than in NC. So since PPP pegs Obama at +2 in NC today, using this expert's formula Obama should be ahead in FLA by 4 pts.
Obama +2?
Obama +1
Barr +4
I predict a tie.
Obama +5
Solely on the basis that Tom is clearly very pleased with himself (as are we all)
Obama +3.
I'd say Obama +2 based both on this hint and the earlier one that the economy has really moved up as the top issue by FL voters.
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