Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Missouri It Is

Thanks for all of your votes, and particularly to Nate Silver for driving about 2/3rds of them!

Florida and Michigan are up in the rotation next week but we may think about subbing something else in for Michigan so perhaps we'll try this voting thing again.

Colorado is in the field right now and we're aiming for a weekend release, and we'll have North Carolina and Missouri toward the start of the week.

20 comments:

Levi said...

What was the final tally?

Levi said...

Oh, and please do replace Michigan with something different. I would love to see a state polled that doesn't get a lot of attention, like West Virginia or Georgia.

andgarden said...

If you guys are looking for Pennsylvania redemption, now might be an ideal time. Or perhaps something completely different like Texas or Mississippi.

Elliot said...

I think you guys should do Georgia, there have been three polls showing Obama in single digits and that the Senate race there could be tied.

Harry Joe said...

How about Mississippi? The Senate race is polled as often as Guam...

Poll Junkie said...

West Virginia! Pretty please!

jr1886 said...

Indiana would be an interesting sub

p smith said...

A helpful suggestio for Tom. When polling NC and any other early voting states, please ensure that you ask the sample whether they have already voted or not. As we near election day, it will be very significant if, for example, 20% of likely voters have already voted.

SUSA's poll in NC this week shows that 5% of the sample had voted already and had gone for Obama by more than 2 to 1.

As for subbing out Michigan, that's probably wise given the McCain pull-out but I do think you should stick to bona fides battleground states rather than going for states like GA or SC.

I would say that Indiana and Nevada are two of the most underpolled battleground states and I'd like to see one of them polled.

Kudos again for making your processes so transparent and democratic.

Blueman said...

Arizona!

Tender Branson said...

Hi,

I would really like to see a poll out of either Arkansas or West Virginia, because the 2 states are hardly polled.

Now that Obama is up 5-10% nationally, I'd like to see if there's any movement there too.

Greetings from Austria

Anonymous said...

Tom, are y'all planning to poll Georgia at any point?

Sean said...

West Virginia
Indiana
Arkansas

Please do one of these.

sdf said...

I agree that either Arkansas or West Virginia would be very interesting at this point. But so would South Carolina.

-- Stu

GM said...

Strongly encourage WV, especially in light of the interesting (if untrustworthy) ARG poll putting Obama up big.

Mike said...

Some possible polls that I would like to see done:

West Virginia
Georgia
Indiana
Arkansas
Texas

Please :)

Joe Prime said...

With the crazy ARG poll out, WV has to be a high priority to see if there is actually anything there.

Deadpan Alley said...

Yes, West Virginia, please!

Anonymous said...

I agree, West Virginia, Indiana, or Nevada are all states that should be considered as subs for Michigan.

Anonymous said...

PPP has a proven record of predicting more accurate results in Southern states than the rest of the field, so I think that it would be interesting for you to poll states like SC and GA; considering SUSA's performance there in the primaries, it would be nice for you to confirm or deny their results.

app state said...

I agree with West Virginia and Arkansas.

I'm tired of hearing WV classified as a deep-red state because it vote for Bush. The fundamentals of that state fit with the Democrats - heck, they even voted for Dukakis in 1988!

Same thing for Arkansas - yeah they are more conservative, but they still have very strong Democratic underpinnings and with a little effort, Obama could play and win in both I think.

 
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