Friday, May 1, 2009

Coming next week: Virginia

I know SurveyUSA's Virginia Democratic primary poll this week caused a stir, and we happened to be on schedule to poll it this weekend anyway. We'll have that Tuesday.

The thing that surprised me most in the SUSA numbers was only 18% of the electorate being undecided. We've already started our poll and continue to find it more around 40%.

It's possible the difference could be explained by Survey USA using a tighter likely voter screen than us. I'm not sure there's really a 'right' or 'wrong' at this point.

We do join them in seeing movement toward Terry McAuliffe so far although I don't know if we're seeing quite the magnitude of that they did.

We'll poll the primary two more times- the week before Memorial Day and the weekend before the election. And by popular demand we'll also poll the Democratic candidates against Bob McDonnell probably two weekends before the election so that if there are any clear general election viability disparities that information will be out there.

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