Thursday, May 21, 2009

An opening for Deeds and Moran?

The thing that caught my attention most in yesterday's new SurveyUSA poll on the race for Governor in Virginia was that they had only 63% of the electorate as Democrats, with 25% independents and 12% Republicans.

That's a lot more independents and Republicans planning to vote in the Democratic primary than we're finding, but if true, those voters could be the path to victory for Brian Moran or Creigh Deeds.

We have shown Terry McAuliffe doing much better with Democrats in the primary electorate than with independents or Republicans. With not much on the GOP side worth turning out for, it will be interesting to see if one of the underdog candidates makes a concerted effort to get those folks out to vote against McAuliffe in the Democratic primary. It's a long shot but with Moran and Deeds lagging in the polls lately it might be something worth making an investment in.

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