Thursday, October 2, 2008

Kissell leads by 3

Today dueling internal polls show Larry Kissell either leading Robin Hayes by 11 points or trailing him by 3 points.

As I've said before I think the best solution in these situations to really know what's going on is just average them. I'm guessing Kissell is up by about 4 points right now. That would mean a 9 point gain for the Democrat since we polled the race in late August and given the national political climate and the investment of the DCCC in the contest that seems like a reasonable amount of movement.

I wouldn't be feeling too good if I was Robin Hayes.


Will Cubbison said...

Should be 4, since is +11 and -3 not -6.

If you average the numbers instead of the margins Larry has 48.5 and Hayes has 44.5

Tom Jensen said...

Thanks for the correction, not sure why I misread that.

Anonymous said...

Ha! That's what I said at BlueNC, Tom and I swear I didn't read you first. :D

Web Statistics