Saturday, March 15, 2008

Previewing the tracking poll

Sound a little premature? We're going to be doing the primary tracking poll pretty much every week from here on out. I'm not going to ask about all the down ballot races every week, but we will have fresh numbers on the Democratic races for President, Senate, and Governor and on the Republican race for Governor each time.

Here's what I'll be watching for in this week's poll, scheduled to be released Tuesday and Wednesday:

-Richard Moore will have been back on tv for about a week once we conduct this poll. Will that allow him to gain some ground on Bev Perdue? I would imagine he will make at least some in roads on the 27 point lead she showed two weeks ago.

-Pat McCrory has now been on the air for a week. Will he increase his lead over Fred Smith? And were the Survey USA numbers last week showing Bob Orr and Bill Graham moving closer in the contest an outlier or a trend?

-Finally, will Jim Neal start showing some of the progress on Kay Hagan in our poll that he's shown in other polls?

We'll have the answers around the middle of the week.

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